Election Projection Track Record
"The Lord detests differing weights, and dishonest scales do not please him." - Proverbs 20:23
I started doing electoral projections while I was attending college at the age of 19. I started with the 2004 Presidential Election. You will see a demonstrated track record of accuracy and appropriate calls. My very first projection was my only incorrect call to date.
2004 Presidential Election Projection
John Kerry - 272 Electoral Votes
George W. Bush - 266 Electoral Votes
2004 Presidential Actual Results
John Kerry - 252 Electoral Votes
George W. Bush - 286 Electoral Votes
Incorrect States Called: Ohio
Incorrect Presidential Call
State Accuracy: 95%
2008 Presidential Election Projection
Barack Obama - 360 Electoral Votes
John McCain - 178 Electoral Votes
2008 Presidential Actual Results
Barack Obama - 365 Electoral Votes
John McCain - 173 Electoral Votes
Incorrect States Called: Missouri, North Carolina, NE-2
Correct Presidential Call!
State Accuracy: 88%
2012 Presidential Election Projection
Barack Obama - 332 Electoral Votes
Mitt Romney - 206 Electoral Votes
2012 Presidential Actual Results
Barack Obama - 332 Electoral Votes
Mitt Romney - 206 Electoral Votes
Incorrect States Called: None!
Correct Presidential Call!
State Accuracy: 100%
2016 Presidential Election Projection
Hillary Clinton - 259 Electoral Votes
Donald Trump - 279 Electoral Votes
2016 Presidential Actual Results
Hillary Clinton - 227 Electoral Votes
Donald Trump - 304 Electoral Votes
Incorrect States Called: Michigan, Wisconsin
Correct Presidential Call!
State Accuracy: 90%
2020 Presidential Election Projection
Joseph R. Biden - 290 Electoral Votes
Donald Trump - 248 Electoral Votes
2020 Presidential Actual Results
Joseph R. Biden - 306 Electoral Votes
Donald Trump - 232 Electoral Votes
Incorrect States Called: Georgia
Correct Presidential Call!
State Accuracy: 95%
2024 Presidential Election Projection
Kamala Harris - 241 Electoral Votes
Donald Trump - 297 Electoral Votes
2024 Presidential Actual Results
Kamala Harris - 226 Electoral Votes
Donald Trump - 312 Electoral Votes
Incorrect States Called: Michigan
Correct Presidential Call!
State Accuracy: 95%
Presidential Call Accuracy - 83.3%
State Call Accuracy - 93.8%